Harry Potter and the sorcerer's scope: latent scope biases in explanatory reasoning

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Harry Potter and the sorcerer's scope: latent scope biases in explanatory reasoning.

What makes a good explanation? We examine the function of latent scope, i.e., the number of unobserved phenomena that an explanation can account for. We show that individuals prefer narrow latent scope explanations-those that account for fewer unobserved effects-to broader explanations. In Experiments 1a-d, participants found narrow latent scope explanations to be both more satisfying and more ...

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People judge the strength of cause-and-effect relationships as a matter of routine, and often do so in the absence of evidence about the covariation between cause and effect. In the present study, we examine the possibility that explanatory power is used in making these judgments. To intervene on explanatory power without changing the target causal relation, we manipulated explanatory scope—the...

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Nonmonotonicity and the Scope of Reasoning

Circumscription, Default Logic, and Autoepistemic Logic capture aspects of the nonmonotonicity of human commonsense reasoning. However, Perlis has shown that circumscription suuers from certain counterintuitive limitations, concerning exceptions or \counterexam-ples" to defaults. We observe that the unfortunate limitations of circumscription are even broader than Perlis originally pointed out. ...

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Explanations frequently lead to predictions that we do not have the time or resources to fully assess or test, yet we must often decide between potential explanations with incomplete evidence. Previous research has documented a latent scope bias, wherein explanations consistent with fewer predictions of unknown truth are preferred to those consistent with more such predictions. In the present s...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Memory & Cognition

سال: 2010

ISSN: 0090-502X,1532-5946

DOI: 10.3758/s13421-010-0028-1